It’s less than 30 days to the November 8 midterms, and the battle for the House and Senate is still contentious.
Over the last 15 years, the midterm elections have been impactful beyond the fall date, but this year’s November results are touted to have the most significant impact on the political landscape, more than any other midterm election in recent history.
Irrespective of the outcome of the 2022 cycle, President Joe Biden’s first term in office and the integrity of the 2024 General election hang on the results of a handful of states.
As it stands, the Senate favors Democrats. This election cycle the Dems could grow their slim majority in the Senate by winning over two states that are predicted to flip from blue to red: Pennsylvania and Ohio.
In Pennsylvania, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman consistently polls higher than his Republican opponent, former TV doctor Dr. Mehmet Oz.
Both men are vying for the seat Sen. Pat Toomey will be vacating because he decided to exit the Senate following his decision to impeach Trump.
Although Oz has the backing of the former President, which allowed him to win the Republican primary, polls show Fetterman is in the lead.
According to FiveThirtyEight’s most recent poll, despite Oz making progress in closing the gap, Fetterman still leads Oz by 6.6 percentage points.
In Ohio, it’s much of the same.
Trump-backed J.D. Vance trails Democrat Rep. Tim Ryan in the race for the state’s Senate.
Currently, Senator Rob Portman, who currently holds Ohio’s Senate, will be stepping down.
If polls are correct, however, Ryan — who has a 1.6 percentage lead over Vance — could beat Vance.