Trump’s Chances Of Winning In 2024

Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

A recent survey shows President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are essentially tied among voter support for 2024.

On Sunday (September 25), an ABC News/Washington Poll was released showing Biden had a two percentage point lead over Trump in a hypothetical 2024 rematch. Biden received 48 percent support compared to Trump’s 46.

But when the poll surveyed only registered voters, those figures were reversed. Among registered voters, Trump had 48 percent support, and Biden had 46 percent. These figures, however, fall within the poll’s 3.5 percent error margin.

The same survey also queried whether the former President should have charges filed against him for any of the federal investigations being pursued, and a marginal majority (52 percent) indicated that he should. A similar figure wanted him charged for the January 6 insurrection.

The poll also questioned if Biden or Trump was the party’s preferred candidate for the 2024 general election.

Democrats weren’t keen on Biden. Only 35 percent chose him as their preferred candidate to represent Democrats, compared to 56 percent who would rather have someone else run.

Republicans didn’t have such a large discrepancy. Although a nominal majority, 47 percent, want Trump to be the GOP’s 2024 candidate, 46 percent would prefer to see someone else.

Biden’s polling figures of approval were also disappointing, with 39 percent of the respondents approving of the President’s performance compared to 53 percent who disapprove.

The poll was conducted between September 18 – 21 among 1006 adults — 908 are registered voters.