Democrats Preparing For Catastrophe

Photo by René DeAnda on Unsplash

They know they are doomed.

Republicans are preparing to surf the “red wave” taking them to Congressional and state legislature victories in the upcoming midterms.

As Democrats prepare for a particularly vicious election cycle, the GOP seems to be preparing for a win.

In a statement announcing a $10 million fundraising haul in January, Republican Congresswoman Elise Stefanik began celebrating, despite the midterms being ten months away at the time.

“As the historic 2022 Red Wave builds and more Democrats run for the hills, I will continue to support strong, American First candidates as we work to Fire Nancy Pelosi once and for all and SAVE AMERICA!” she said in the statement.

Her sentiments were shared by Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel. McDaniel also used a water analogy to describe Republicans’ possible victory, “With Biden underwater, a red wave is coming,” adding in her op-ed that while the GOP, “look ahead to the 2022 midterm elections, Democrats have every reason to worry.”

The idea that a party’s top brass would share the view that victory at an election is certain is not unheard of, but nonpartisan experts seem to agree.

Nonpartisan forecasters at the National Journal predict a “red wave” that will sweep away favorable maps and GOP primaries producing strong contenders, drowning their narrow majority.

History is also on the side of Republicans. In the 38 midterm elections held between 1862 and 2014, the party holding the White House has only kept the majority in the House four times. The Senate fairs better. In the same period, the President’s party has managed to do better in the Senate, only losing seats two dozen times.

However, since 1938, only two Presidents have kept their House majorities. In 1998, President Bill Clinton kept Democrats in power in the House, following a failed attempt by Republicans to have him impeached. Then again, in 2002, as the nation rallied around President George W. Bush, Republicans maintained their House majority but lost that majority in the next midterms while Bush was still President.

Barring these two examples, if history were to repeat itself, it’s safe to assume Republicans will be surfing the red wave to Congressional victories.