(TheIndependentStar.com) – In a development that could doom Joe Biden’s reelection hopes, black voters are pulling support from him and the Democrats in a slight but notable trend, as observed by several public opinion surveys and pollsters.
Heading into the 2024 elections, Biden might face challenges in gaining consistent support from black voters, a demographic traditionally reliable for Democrats, according to a report by Politico.
Recent data and elections indicate that Republicans have been making inroads into this crucial voter base, the leftist news outlet points out, as cited by The Daily Caller.
“Black voters continue to be loyal to Democrats but there are signs that support continues to erode,” states the article titled, “Democrats keep getting warning signs about waning Black voter support.”
It notes that a Fox News poll from early October paints a telling picture: Biden stands at 74% popularity among black voters vs. 26% for former President Donald Trump in a 2024 repeat of the 2020 presidential race.
This is a significant drop from the 90% lead he had within this group in 2020, as pointed out by the Democratic data firm Catalist.
The 2022 midterms further reinforce this trend, with only 88% of black voters backing the Democratic candidate, down from 91% in 2020.
Furthermore, Politico’s report draws attention to specific segments of black voters who have shown a decline in support for Democrats: millennial and Gen Z voter support declined from 91% to 84%, male voter support from 87% to 83%, rural voters from 84% to 80%, and non-college graduates from 91% to 87%.
The recent Louisiana gubernatorial election offers more food for thought. Republican Attorney General Jeff Landry’s win showcased a significant drop in voter turnout, more so among black voters.
“Jeff Landry was getting double digits [in heavily Black precincts] once you got outside of the urban areas of Baton Rouge and New Orleans — that very much catches my attention,” observed John Couvillon, a Louisiana-based Republican pollster.
Meanwhile, a Quinnipiac University poll from last week discovered that only about 65% of black voters approve of Biden’s performance as president.
Politico concludes it’s evident that Biden cannot rely on the same strong coalition of black voters that helped him clinch victory in 2021 as the dwindling support of Democrats among black voters has been observed since the end of Barack Obama’s tenure.